- ShibaInu is entering its most challenging quarter, with historical data showing consistent summer losses and significant downside risk ahead.
- Unless new catalysts emerge, SHIB investors should prepare for a potentially slow and red summer season.
As ShibaInu (SHIB) approaches the summer months, the cryptocurrency finds itself stepping into a historically challenging period. Past price trends suggest that this upcoming quarter could be fraught with downside risk, signaling caution for investors and traders alike.
Summer’s Harsh Reality: A Seasonal Downtrend for SHIB
Looking at ShibaInu’s price history, the months of June through August have repeatedly proven to be difficult times. According to CryptoRank data, June alone averages a return of -15.1%, with a median drop of -11.8%. July and August don’t offer much relief either, showing average returns of -2.7% and -1.3%, respectively. Although July has occasionally delivered modest positive returns (median of +2.1%), the overall summer picture remains bleak.
This pattern suggests a seasonal weakness that tends to shake out short-term holders, possibly due to reduced trading volumes or broader market sentiment cooling off during these months.
Recent Performance and Technical Levels Signal Caution
The start of 2025 has not inspired confidence either, with SHIB closing Q1 down a staggering 41.4%. While April and May have offered some relief, showing gains of nearly 7% and 15.8%, the token still trades at around $0.00001536—below February and March levels.
Resistance near $0.00001698 continues to hold firm, making it difficult for SHIB to regain upward momentum. Meanwhile, key support sits near $0.00001107, a level investors will watch closely in the coming weeks.
Historical Trends Point to Another Red Summer
When zooming out to quarterly performance, the red flags grow larger. ShibaInu Q2 returns in 2023 and 2024 were deeply negative at -30.2% and -44.3%, respectively. Despite occasional sharp rallies like the +145.2% spike in March 2024, SHIB ended up giving back those gains by midsummer.
Without new market catalysts or strong bullish triggers, the historical data strongly suggests that Shiba Inu is likely to face another slow, red summer in 2025.
Shiba Inu: What This Means for SHIB Holders
If history repeats itself, the next few months could test the patience of SHIB investors. Caution and strategic risk management will be key as the crypto enters its most perilous quarter of the year. Watch those technical levels closely — they may guide the next significant moves in SHIB’s summer saga.
